About statistical success rate
Why do very rich people earn more on their capital than less rich people? (in proportion to the size of their wealth). There are several reasons, but one of them…
Security Guarantee Trap
The public space is full of “guarantees” that the Americans are supposed to give to the current Ukrainian regime. On the face of it, this is great. The word conjures…
Truth and lies in a divided society
This time, I’m quoting an ardent opponent of President Trump, blogger Matthew Yglesias: “I have no idea what the 8,000 or so employees of the US Fish and Wildlife Service…
A historically unique masterstroke.
There was a time when, in politically complex situations, analysts worked out different courses of action, collected data, compared scenarios, analysed risks… so that the decision of the statesman was…
On overestimating the Green Deal
For a generation now, most Westerners have been getting poorer, less free and less educated. The only increasing parameter has been life expectancy, but even that has already begun to…
Francis Fukuyama and Insulated Worlds
Liberals are losing power, there are cries, we see theatrical speeches of powerlessness, and some thought patterns are becoming much clearer. For example, Francis Fukuyama (yes, the legendary author of…